White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan recently visited Beijing to address concerns about China potentially taking advantage of the United States’ vulnerabilities during a time of conflict and a presidential election. Experts believe that Sullivan’s visit aimed to ensure responsible management during this sensitive period.
During his trip, Sullivan emphasized the importance of managing elections and transitions responsibly, acknowledging that these periods can be sensitive. China expert Shi Shan noted that Sullivan delivered a clear message to Beijing in person.
The United States and China have agreed to hold a call between President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping later this year. There are also indications that the two leaders may meet in person at upcoming events such as the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Forum and the G20 summit.
Sullivan’s visit also focused on establishing communication channels between military commanders from both countries. This is seen as a significant step towards de-escalation and preventing conflicts in regions like the South and East China Seas.
The meetings between Sullivan and Chinese Communist Party leaders discussed regional stability, particularly regarding recent aggressions against countries like the Philippines and Japan. The discussions also touched on China’s support for Russia’s defense industry, which has implications for European security.
China is closely monitoring global developments, including U.S. involvement in other conflicts such as Ukraine and Israel-Hamas tensions. The CCP may see an opportunity to act if it perceives weaknesses or unrest within the United States.
Sullivan made it clear during his visit that any interference by foreign nations in U.S. elections is unacceptable. This issue was raised repeatedly with Chinese officials, highlighting its significance for maintaining stable relations between both countries.
Experts believe that while Sullivan’s visit achieved some progress at a technical level, fundamental differences between China and the United States will continue to drive bilateral tensions. Military communication can alleviate immediate tensions but does not guarantee long-term cooperation.
Sullivan’s visit aimed to address potential vulnerabilities while promoting responsible management during sensitive periods for both countries. The effectiveness of newly established communication channels remains uncertain, but experts believe that major provocations from China are unlikely before the next U.S. president takes office.